Gear Upgrade Analysis – The Hard Path to Upgrade Level 9[装備強化分析 — 2. 強化レベル9までの険しい道]
Hi, my name is Blueioi, leader of the Superwalk WLB team.
Hello, this is Blueioi, leader of the Super Walk WLB team.
I’m not interested in the success rate of individuals. I want to analyze the overall success rate and destruction of equipment. Let’s say 10,000 people upgrade 10,000 pieces of equipment.
What I want to see is not individual success rates. It is to analyze the success rate and the destruction rate of all equipment and its situation. Let’s continue with the assumption that 10,000 people will reinforce 10,000 pieces of equipment.
Upgrade (0 > 1 level)[強化 (0 > 1次)]
All upgrade levels have the same frequency. Assuming no damage prevention is used, let’s do a preliminary analysis. Out of 10,000 upgrades, 8,032 succeed, 968 fail, and 1,000 are destroyed, leaving 9,000 pieces of equipment. Equipment that fails will be subjected to a second attempt at upgrade. This process will be repeated.
The amplification factor for all stages is the same. Let’s continue with the first analysis assuming no vandalism. Of the 10,000 upgrades, 8,032 were successful, 968 failed, 1,000 were destroyed, and the rest are 9,000 pieces of equipment. Equipment that fails will be given a secondary amplification. Repeat this process.
Out of 10,000 upgrades, 8,891 succeeded, 2 failed, and 1,107 were destroyed. The actual destruction rate from level 0 to level 1 is 11.07% of the total. You get the idea, right? Now let’s continue this process to the 9th upgrade level.
Out of 10,000 reinforcements, 8,891 were successful, 2 were unsuccessful, and 1,107 were destroyed. The actual destruction rate from 0 to 1 force is 11.07% of the total. Can you understand? Now let’s continue this process until the 9th mark.
Upgrade (1st > 2nd level)[強化 (1次 > 2次)]
Upgrade (2nd > 3rd level)[強化 (2次 > 3次)]
Upgrade (level 3 > 4)[強化 (3次 > 4次)]
Upgrade (level 4 > 5)[強化 (4次 > 5次)]
Let’s stop for a moment and review. After going from level 0 to level 5, 5269 pieces of equipment survived. This translates to a success rate of 52.69% and, conversely, a destruction rate of 47.31%. Almost half of the equipment attempted to be upgraded is destroyed. This is something to keep in mind before you decide to upgrade. Now, let’s continue to observe the process from levels 6 to 9.
Let’s stop here and check. As a result of going from Strong 0 to Strong 5, 5269 pieces of equipment survived. That means a success rate of 52.69%, and 47.31% will be destroyed. Almost half of the equipment you are trying to upgrade will be destroyed. It is worth remembering this before you start to upgrade. Now let’s continue the process from 6 to 9.
Upgrade (level 5 > 6)[強化 (5次 > 6次)]
Here’s an vital note. The cumulative attempts at each upgrade stage can potentially represent someone’s cumulative failures. From level 4 to 5, the cumulative attempts can range from 4 to 7, but beyond level 5, it can be as high as 23 attempts. Of course, you hope for success before reaching the cumulative failure, and pray that the gear doesn’t get destroyed.
Here are some vital points. The cumulative number of attempts at each stage of reinforcement may actually be the cumulative number of failures for the individual. The total number of attempts ranges from 4 to 7 in grades 4 and 5, but in grades 5 and beyond it may enhance to 23 attempts. Of course you have to hope for success and hope that your equipment does not break down before you reach cumulative failure.
After reaching upgrade level 6, the survival rate of the initial 10,000 pieces of equipment drops to 36.5%.
After reaching 6+, the survival rate of the first 10,000 pieces of gear was 36.5%.
Upgrade (Level 6 > 7)[強化 (6次 > 7次)]
